| | Associations of the serotonin transporter promoter polymorphism with aggressivity, attention deficit, and conduct disorder in an adoptee population☆☆☆★Abstract Prior studies of the Iowa Adoption cohorts have demonstrated that the degree of adoptee aggressiveness and conduct disorder has a significant genetic component. Other studies have implicated the neurotransmitter serotonin or polymorphisms in the serotonin transporter gene (5HTT) as an important source of variability in “externalizing” behaviors such as aggressivity, conduct disorder, and attention deficit-hyperactivity disorders (ADHD). Following this lead, we genotyped a subgroup of adoptees (n = 87) at high risk for these kinds of disorders with respect to the serotonin-transporter-linked promoter region (5HTTLPR) polymorphism, and used ordinal logistic regression to conduct an association study. Primary analysis failed to detect a main effect between 5HTTLPR status and subscales of aggressivity, conduct disorder, or attention deficit. However, when biologic parent status and sex of proband were considered, certain interactions between 5HTTLPR and other genetic risk factors were evident. One type of interaction with the LL variant of 5HTTLPR increased externalizing behavior in individuals with antisocial biologic parentage; a second interaction with one or more 5HTTLPR short variants (SS or SL) appeared to increase externalizing behaviors in conjunction with a genetic diathesis for alcoholism. Gender of adoptee also appeared to interact with 5HTTLPR. Male individuals with the short variant were more likely to have higher symptom counts for conduct disorder, aggressivity, and ADHD. In contrast, among females, the short variant (SS, SL) was associated with lower levels of such behavior. The results support the hypothesis that gene-biological family history interactions are involved in the externalizing behaviors studied and constitute interesting findings for future replication. Copyright 2003, Elsevier Science (USA). All rights reserved.
Prior studies have demonstrated that externalizing behaviors as aggressivity and impulsivity have a high degree of heritability. Although the specific genetic substrata responsible for this heritability have not been unequivocally demonstrated, a rich literature exists in which serotonergic dysfunction is implicated in the etiology of deviant behavior including aggressivity, impulsivity, attention deficit-hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), and conduct disorder. A number of investigators have suggested that sequence variability in the genes of the serotonergic neurotransmission system may be responsible for a portion of the expression of externalizing behaviors mediated by this system. In particular, a large number of studies have focused on the serotonin transporter, which is the target site for the selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) such as fluoxetine and paroxetine. The gene for the serotonin (5-hydroxy-tryptophan or 5HTT) transporter is located on chromosome 17q12 and consists of a promoter and 14 exons spanning 31 kb.1, 2 Two common polymorphisms have been reported in this gene. The first, the 5HTT-linked polymorphic region (5HTTLPR), is a variable nucleotide repeat (VNTR) with a 22-bp base repeat unit that is 1 kb upstream of the minimal essential promoter of the serotonin transporter. The second, referred to as Stin2, is also a variable nucleotide repeat (17 bp units) found in intron 2.3
Given the importance of elements immediately upstream from the minimal essential promoter on gene transcription, the properties of the first polymorphism, 5HTTLPR, have been extensively examined in vitro and in vivo. Two alleles, termed long (L with 16 repeats) and short (S with 14 repeats) at this VNTR are common. Some,4, 5, 6 but not all,7, 8, 9 in vitro studies have demonstrated that the short allele results in a dominant effect of decreased transcription or translation of 5HTT mRNA.
The clinical effects of the 5HTTLPR polymorphism have been studied with respect to anxiety, depression, alcoholism, and temperament. In particular, studies have focused on whether variability at this locus contributes to increased risk for the temperament characteristic of neuroticism, which has been described as “proneness to negative emotion, including anxiety, depression and hostility” and operationalized by a variety of neuropsychiatric assessments. While a number of studies have concluded that the presence of the short allele is associated with increased levels of neuroticism,6 others have not.10, 11, 12 Since the measures and study designs employed in these studies have varied, the magnitude of the effect of the 5HTTLPR on behavior is uncertain. The failure to have consistent findings in this matter may represent a lack of behavioral measurement sensitivity, the confounding effects of the environment on gene expression, the interaction of 5HTTLPR with other genes, or genetic heterogeneity inherent in different samples.
The use of an adoption paradigm to investigate confounding effects of environment, gene-environment interaction, and gene-gene interaction (epistasis) may increase the sensitivity to detect subtle gene effects. In prior reports from the Iowa Adoption cohorts, we have demonstrated gene-environment interactions that alter adoptees' expression of externalizing behaviors such as conduct disorder and aggressivity.13 Specifically, antisocial biologic parentage interacted with certain adoptive home variables such as behaviorally disturbed adoptive parents to increase the rate of aggressivity in adoptees.14 Furthermore, important gender differences were found in that gene-environment interaction was more pronounced for females.15 More recently, work in our research group has shown how gene-environment interaction between genetic diatheses and parenting factors in the adoptive home may operate to affect adoptee aggressivity and conduct disorder.16, 17, 18
In addition to variation in genetic effects found for specific behaviors, genetic contributions to behavior across different developmental periods should be considered. Development presents a kaleidoscopic picture of outcomes as earlier behaviors change or disappear and new ones are added to the repertoire. Previous analyses of our data have had developmental underpinnings in that aggressivity and conduct disorder observed in adolescence (ages 13 to 18) have been examined in relation to adult psychopathology.19, 20 For the current report, the developmental focus was shifted to younger ages to include externalizing behaviors observed during preschool (ages 2 to 5) and grade school (ages 6 to 12). The rationale for seeking early-life measures is the fact that genetic effects and their interaction with the environment could change at different developmental periods or manifest themselves differently.
In a previously published paper from these data21 we described a significant association between variants of the HOPA (Human Opa-containing) gene and psychopathology (major depression). An additional finding was that four of the five adoptees with the HOPA variant were offspring of biologic parents with antisocial personality (ASP) or alcoholism. Although this excess of adoptees with high-risk genetic background was not statistically significant, it did suggest the possibility of interaction of the HOPA variant with genetic factors inherited from biologic parents who had ASP or alcoholism. This led us to look specifically in this study for such interaction between 5HTTLPR and genetic factors identified by our high-risk adoption design. Furthermore, given the inconsistency of findings among traditional association studies, we suggest that the adoption paradigm, and our data in particular, provides a more sensitive approach for conducting an association study since more information is available to control for potential interactions among genetic diatheses and environmental factors.22 Specifically, this design allows us to study potential interaction between 5HTTLPR and these biological risk factors.
Method  Sample selection The overall design and methodology of this adoption study, including the subgroup of individuals from whom these swabs were gathered have been described in detail previously.23, 24 Briefly, this study recruited 197 adoptees and their adoptive parents from four different adoption agencies starting in 1989. Adoptees were separated at birth from their biologic parents and raised by nonrelatives. Adoptees and their adoptive parents were interviewed initially (1990 to 1992) and 181 adoptees were reinterviewed approximately 5 years later (1995 to 1997). At the time of second interview, all subjects were adults between 23 and 53 years of age. At the second interview buccal swabs were solicited. Swabs were obtained from 154 of these reinterviewed subjects, but usable DNA could be extracted from only 98 of these swabs for this study. This number of subjects for 5HTTLPR behavior analyses was further reduced to 87 because of missing information from adoptive parents who declined to be interviewed. All protocols in this study were approved by the Institutional Review Board of the University of Iowa College of Medicine. Biological parent diagnosis was established as previously described.25 Briefly, biological parent names were compared with the records of state mental health and correctional facilities. Apparent matches were corroborated by comparison of available family and demographic records. Coded hospital and correctional records were reviewed independently by three psychiatrists and diagnoses were assigned using DSM-III criteria.26 Disagreements were settled by conference and those individuals about whom a consensus could not be reached were excluded. The κ for interrater reliability ranged from 0.67 to 0.79. Development of outcome measures At the time of the first interview, adoptive parents (usually the mother) answered questions about specific symptoms of preschool (age 2 to 6 years) and grade school (age 6 to 12 years) attention deficit disorder and conduct disorder (including aggressive behavior). Nearly all of these questions were rated on a four-point Likert scale ranging from 0 (absent) to 3 (strongly present). Occasionally items were rated on other categorical scales (e.g., absent or present). These were recoded so that their scaling approximated the above four-point scale (e.g., absent = 0, present = 2). Information on preschool and grade school externalizing behaviors were available for 175 of the adoptees (six adoptive parents were not interviewed). For the factor analyses described next, we used all 175 reinterviewed subjects rather than just those who with a known 5HTTLPR genotype. Development of behavior scales We derived the ADHD subscales using categorical factor analysis based on a latent probit model.27, 28 We applied unweighted least squares fitting to the estimated tetrachoric correlation matrix using M-plus software.28 We obtained nonorthogonal (i.e., correlated) solutions via Promax rotation.29 Our sample size was rather low compared to what is desirable to assure reasonable estimate stability for this categorical data approach. We therefore compared the results for consistency with those obtained from traditional principle component and principal factor analyses of the same data. (These continuous data methods have their own limitations when analyzing categorical, highly skewed distributions. We view comparison of results obtained from each of these methods as the most satisfactory approach to categorical data factor analysis with fewer than several hundred observations.) Our final results were qualitatively consistent across all three approaches in the sense that they would have led to nearly identical factor scores, which are described below. We chose the number of factors primarily on the basis of the number of eigenvalues greater than 1 in the decomposition of the implied tetrachoric correlation matrix, although we also paid heed to the slope of eigenvalue decrease and interpretability of the solutions. We encountered no serious contradictions when comparing these criteria. A small number of items were deleted from the final models due to low correlations with any postulated factor or high correlations with multiple factors indicating nonspecificity. Finally, we defined the “working” behavior scores in a simplified two-step manner. In the first step, we simply added the original Likert scores (0 to 3 or the equivalent) of the items assigned to each factor. (We assigned each item to the factor that it loaded on most highly.) Such simplified scores typically correlate quite highly with analytically estimated factor scores29 and, in addition to their simplicity, have the advantage of robustness when the analysis is based on relatively small sample sizes.29, 30 In an additional step, we collapsed certain contiguous values of each scale—especially at the upper extreme—so that the observed probability distributions contained at least several observations at each possible value. This was to improve the stability of our estimates of 5HTTLPR association via ordinal logistic regression (see below). The resultant behavior scores were reduced to ordinality rather than retaining a true approximate scaling; however, the possible undue influence of outliers with extreme behavioral scores was minimized and an alternative implicit scaling of the underlying behavior was recovered as the model was fit. The items comprising each scale, along with the descriptive scale names, are listed in Table 1.
Note that these scales follow commonly accepted DSM concepts quite closely, including subtypes of behaviors that are identified under current ADHD diagnostic criteria.31 We have also listed in Table 1 the scales developed prior to this study that used items from both the adoptee interview as well as the adoptive parent interview. Adoptee adolescent aggressivity was defined by a scale described by Loney et al32 and modified by an additional five items (described in Table 1). Conduct disorder in adolescence was defined by the sum of behavior items which were adopted from Robins.34 | | |  | Pre-Adolescent Behavior Factors: Defining Items |  |
|---|
 | Preschool Factors (ages 2-6) |  |
|---|
 | Conduct Problems | Impulsiveness | Attention Deficit Problems | Hyperactivity Problems |  |
 | Physically attacks other children | Doesn't stick to play | Fails to finish tasks | Trouble waiting turns |  |
 | Defies adults | Refuses to wait turn | Appears not to listen | Runs and climbs excessively |  |
 | Difficult to discipline | Grabs things from others | Easily distractable | Trouble sitting quietly |  |
 | | Interrupts others | Trouble concentrating | On the go-like motordriven |  |
 | | Loud and overexcitable | | |  | | | |
 | Grade School Factors (ages 6-12) |  |
|---|
 | Conduct Problems | Attention Deficit Problems | Hyperactivity Problems |  |
 | Talk back | Fails to finish tasks | Impulsive |  |
 | Profanity | Doesn't listen | Shifts activity excessively |  |
 | Lies frequently | Easily distracted | Disrupts class |  |
 | Trouble with teacher | Trouble maintaining attention | Trouble sitting quietly |  |
 | Quarrelsome | Trouble organizing work | |  |
 | Temper tantrums | Disorganized with possessions | |  |
 | Loud/abusive | Trouble remaining on task | |  |
 | | Changes activity without finishing | |  |
 | | Trouble studying for tests | |  |
 | | Trouble organizing responsibilities | |  | | | |
 | Previously Defined and Published Adolescent and Grade School Aggressivity and Conduct Disorder: Defining Items |  |
|---|
 | Preadolescent Aggressivity | Adolescent Aggressivity | Adolescent Conduct Disorder |  |
 | Distructive (vandalism) | Distructive (vandalism) | Truant |  |
 | Temper tantrums | Temper tantrums | Expelled from school |  |
 | Bully/cruelty | Bully/cruelty | Run away from home |  |
 | Defiant | Defiant | Lies |  |
 | Fights | Fights | Early sex |  |
 | Lies | Lies | Early substance use/abuse |  |
 | Quarrelsome | Quarrelsome | Steals |  |
 | Rebellious | Rebellious | Vandalism |  |
 | Steals | Steals | Poor school grades |  |
 | Swears | Swears | School problems fights |  |
 | Teases | Teases | |  |
 | Won't mind | Won't mind | |  |
 | Insolent/sassy | Insolent/sassy | |  |
 | Sets fires | Sets fires | |  |
 | Physically attacks adults | Physically attacks adults | |  |
 | Verbally abuses adults | Verbally abuses adults | |  |
 | Threatens others | Threatens others | |  | | | |
Our final behavior scores had mostly moderate intercorrelations, both among behaviors related to the same childhood period and between behaviors related to different periods. These correlations are listed in Table 2.
| | |  | | PS Conduct | PS Impulse | PS AD | PS Hyper | GS Conduct | GS AD | GS Hyper-Impulse | Preadol Aggress | Adol Aggress | Adol Conduct |  |
 | Preschool conduct | 1.00 | .58 | .47 | .42 | .48 | .38 | .47 | .53 | .49 | .37 |  |
 | Preschool impulsivity | .58 | 1.00 | .64 | .52 | .54 | .52 | .69 | .59 | .41 | .41 |  |
 | Preschool attention-deficit | .47 | .64 | 1.00 | .54 | .50 | .66 | .69 | .53 | .44 | .42 |  |
 | Preschool hyperactivity | .42 | .52 | .54 | 1.00 | .47 | .42 | .64 | .52 | .40 | .32 |  |
 | Grade school conduct | .48 | .54 | .50 | .47 | 1.00 | .51 | .58 | .89 | .61 | .53 |  |
 | Grade school attention-deficit | .38 | .52 | .66 | .42 | .51 | 1.00 | .59 | .48 | .38 | .48 |  |
 | Grade school hyperactivity-impulsivity | .47 | .69 | .69 | .64 | .58 | .59 | 1.00 | .60 | .53 | .50 |  |
 | Preadolescent aggressivity | .53 | .59 | .53 | .52 | .89 | .48 | .60 | 1.00 | .60 | .56 |  |
 | Adolescent aggressivity | .49 | .41 | .44 | .40 | .61 | .38 | .53 | .60 | 1.00 | .60 |  |
 | Adolescent conduct disorder | .37 | .41 | .42 | .32 | .53 | .48 | .50 | .56 | .60 | 1.00 |  |
 | |  | | | |
Analysis of 5HTTLPR associations We conducted regression analyses of the relationship between 5HTTLPR and various measures of developmental behavior problems. Other previously known or suspected predictors (see below) were included in the analyses in order to control for potential confounding. Due to the small number and skewness of ordered categories for most of the outcome behaviors, we elected to use proportional odds ordinal logistic regression35, 36 rather than conventional linear regression. While logistic regression coefficients are typically interpreted as the natural logarithm of a constant odds ratio,36 we have elected to report results from the perspective of analyzing underlying, unobserved, latent continuous variables. Under this interpretation, the logistic regression coefficients are interpretable as estimates of the corresponding regression coefficients that would be obtained if linear regression could be performed using the underlying continuous variables as the outcomes.35 Note that logarithms are not involved in this interpretation. With appropriate rescaling, these regression coefficients can be interpreted as the standardized effect size associated with one unit change in the corresponding predictor variable. The standardized effect size is given in terms of standard deviations of the model's residual error. As reviewed in the introduction, we have previously observed in these data that antisocial biological parents (ASP bio), adverse adoptive home environment, and gender are significant predictors of conduct or aggressive behaviors.33, 37, 38 In order to avoid potential confounding and work with a consistent model, we automatically included all of these terms as additional predictors in the present models. We also included alcoholic biological (ALC bio) background because of evidence in earlier studies for significant association with substance abuse, conduct disorder, and ADHD.37, 38, 39 For some outcomes, an interaction between ASP bio and adverse adoptive home environment has also been observed.14 In the present models, this interaction was included if the estimated P value for its association with the behavioral outcome was less than .15. Having established the background model containing the variables just noted, we proceeded to add 5HTTLPR genotype as an additional predictor. Due to the paucity of short homozygotes (see Table 3 for allele frequencies), we could not analyze this genotype separately.
As an alternative, we collapsed the genotypes of short-short (S-S) and short-long (S-L) into a single category and compared this combined genotype to the long-long (L-L) combination. This amounts to an assumption that the short allele operates under classical Mendelian dominance, an interpretation with some support in the literature.4, 5, 6 | | |  | | Genotype | |  |
|---|
 | Sex | SS | SL | LL | Total |  |
 | Female | 10 | 22 | 27 | 59 |  |
 | Male | 5 | 13 | 21 | 39 |  |
 | Total | 15 | 35 | 48 | 98 |  |
 | |  | | | |
Our first set of regression models, which are not presented in any detail, failed to show significant simple 5HTTLPR associations (main effects) with any of the 10 behavioral outcomes. Observing this, we moved on to models that also investigated potential interactions between 5HTTLPR and previously established risk factors. We found no evidence for interactions between 5HTTLPR and the adverse adoptive home environment scale. However, as detailed in the Results section, we did find evidence of multiple interactions between 5HTTLPR and both biological parent status (ASP bio and ALC bio) and adoptee gender. To standardize the structure of our predictive models and control for potential confounding among these terms, our final models included all three 5HTTLPR interactions—with adoptee gender, and with ALC or ASP bio parents—regardless of their individual significance in predicting a particular outcome. The problem of multiple comparisons Given the scope of our final design—a study with 10 related but distinct behavioral outcomes and three 5HTTLPR interactions to check for each outcome—we felt it essential to address the issue of multiple comparisons. Within a particular model, we use the 4-df Wald tests for the joint significance of 5HTTLPR and its interactions as our primary tests for 5HTTLPR association. However, in deciding which exploratory results to report, we adopted a rather liberal standard; P values as high as .17 for this overall test will be noted below. One-degree-of-freedom tests for specific interactions were then reported if their P values were below .10. The issue of multiple comparisons across multiple models was addressed by using a simulation technique that compared the number of our results that met the above 4-df criteria to the approximate number that would be expected by chance. We first obtained the Pearson correlation matrix of the residuals that resulted from fitting each behavioral outcome to a logistic regression model containing only our background predictors (i.e., the non-5HTTLPR terms). We then generated random multivariate normal data sets with the same number of observations as our actual data and the same correlation structure observed in the above residuals. We did this repeatedly (10,000 times), and on each replication, fit conventional linear regression models to the 10 simulated normally distributed outcomes using the 5HTTLPR term and its three interactions as the predictor variables. This method allowed us to simulate the approximate expected joint distribution of test statistics under the null hypothesis of no 5HTTLPR associations with any of our outcomes. We estimated the probability under the null hypothesis of observing n positive 4-df tests vis-à-vis an arbitrary P value criterion by tabulating the proportion of simulated chi-square statistics that exceeded the appropriate critical value. (The method is approximate because of the switch—for the sake of practical simulation—to normal data and linear regression. We used chi-square approximations of the usual linear regression Fstatistic to more closely duplicate the actual statistics used in logistic regression.) Molecular genetic protocol Buccal swabs were obtained using Cytotech brushes (Medical Packaging Corp, Camarillo, TX) according to the manufacturer's suggestions. These swabs were assigned a study code, stripped of all other subject identifiers, then stored in a refrigerator at 4°F until used. DNA from these swabs was prepared using a QIAmp DNA minikit (Qiagen, Inc, Valencia, CA). Genotyping of the 5HTTLPR locus was carried out using the primers F- GGCGTTGCCGCTCTGAATGC and R-GAGGGACTGAGCTGGACAACCAC as given by Persico et al.48 Vent polymerase was used according to the manufacturer's suggestion (New England Biolabs, Beverly, MA) and 100 μmol/L 7-deaza guanosine triphosphate (GTP) (Boehringer Mannheim, Indianapolis, IN) was added to aid amplification through this GC-rich region. Cycling parameters were as follows: 98°C × 2 minutes, then 45 cycles of 96°C × 15 seconds, 68°C × 15 seconds, and 72°C × 45 seconds, with a 7-minute final extension at 72°C. Approximately 3 μL of each of the above polymerase chain reaction (PCR) products were denatured, then loaded on a standard 6% polyacrylamide sequencing gel and electrophoresed for 2 to 3 hours. The gels were exposed to standard x-ray film and the visualized PCR products sized by comparison to an internal sequencing ladder. Gels were read independently and blindly with respect to subject behavioral outcome or genetic background by two of the authors (R.P. and H.S.).
Results  A total of 59 females and 39 males were genotyped for the behavioral association analysis. Genotypes occurred in frequencies consistent with Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium and the prevalences of the L and S variants were consistent with prior studies of populations of Northern European Ancestry.11, 40 Table 3 shows the genotypes found (divided by sex of subject). Of these 98 subjects, only 87 (50 females and 37 males) were used because an interview from an adoptive parents was missing. Of the 50 females, five had an ASP bio parent, seven had an ASP + ALC bio parent, and eight had an ALC bio-only parent. Of the 37 males, three had an ASP boil parent, seven had an ASP + ALC bio parent, and eight had an ALC bio-only parent. The initial separate regression models showed suggestive effects for interaction of 5HTTLPR with gender of adoptee, as well as with alcoholic and anti-social genetic diatheses. For example, one such model was: attention deficit symptoms = constant + ALC bio + 5HTTLPR + (ALC bio × 5HTTLPR). To determine whether confounding existed between the interaction effects, a model containing all three interactions with 5HTTLPR was fit simultaneously. The combined model also controlled for the background variables (such as disturbed adoptive parent) described above. As with other models we assumed a dominant effect of a short variant (SS, SL v LL). Findings for these simultaneous interaction models are shown in Table 4 and are consistent with models in which these interactions (with gender, ALC bio, and ASP bio) were fit one at a time.
Thus, confounding between the three interactions does not appear to be a factor. | | |  | Behavior | Any 5 HT Effect | Gender × 5 HT | ALC bio × HT | ASP bio × 5 HT |  |
 | Preschool variables | | | | |  |
 | Conduct problems | .50 | - | - | - |  |
 | Attention deficit | .09 | - | .03 | - |  |
 | Impulsivity | .69 | - | - | - |  |
 | Hyperactivity | .08 | .06 | .09 | - |  |
 | Grade school variables | | | | |  |
 | Conduct problems | .17 | .04 | - | - |  |
 | Attention deficit | .14 | - | .03 | - |  |
 | Hyperactivity | .11 | - | .07 | - |  |
 | Previously developed measures | | | | |  |
 | Preadolescent aggressivity | .09 | .05 | .10 | .10 |  |
 | Adolescent conduct disorder | .04 | .01 | - | - |  |
 | Adolescent aggressivity | .03 | .03 | .03 | .01 |  |
 | |  | | | |
Table 4 (see column 1) shows that 5HTTLPR associations with five of the 10 behavior variables were significant at the 10% level (4-df tests). Eight of 10 behaviors had at least one interaction at the trend for significance or .10 level (see columns 2 through 4). Among these eight behaviors, the highest overall 4-df 5HTTLPR P value level was .17 for conduct problems. As explained in the Discussion section, the P value for finding eight of 10 interaction behaviors with 5HTTLPR ≤.17 is approximately .005. We conclude that this constituted significant evidence for a gene-gene effect with 5HTTLPR and that at least some interactions with 5HTTLPR are valid (see Discussion). Effect sizes were computed for all interactions with at least a trend for significance (10% level) shown in Table 4. The effect sizes represent estimates of behavior defined by estimated standard deviations of the residual regression errors if the underlying latent variables could be modeled directly. The estimates were adjusted for mean levels of all predictor variables irrelevant to the contrast under consideration. For example, in the case of gender × 5HTTLPRR, effect size was estimated at mean levels of ASP bio, ALC bio, and adverse adoptive home environment. As seen in Table 5, the interaction between adoptee gender × 5HTTLPR shows that a short 5HTTLPR allele is associated with higher levels of the behavior variables in males, but in females the difference in outcome goes in the other direction: short is associated with lower outcome than LL.
Table 6 shows the effect sizes for the two (10% level) interactions of 5HTTLPR with ASP bio parent diathesis.
Here the difference between adoptees with and without the genetic antisocial diathesis appears to be the association of higher aggressivity with the homozygous long allele in the presence of the antisocial diathesis. This finding is in contrast to the effect shown by those with an ALC bio diathesis shown in Table 7, where the short allele is again consistently associated with higher behavior levels when compared to short allele adoptees without an ALC bio parent.
| | |  | | | | Female | Male |  |
|---|
 | Variable | Interaction Term (SE) | P | LL (SE) | SS or SL (SE) | LL (SE) | SS or SL (SE) |  |
 | Preschool hyperactivity | 1.00 (0.53) | .06 | 0.04 (0.20) | −0.29 (0.22) | −0.20 (0.24) | 0.47 (0.27) |  |
 | Grade school conduct disorder | 1.08 (0.52) | .04 | 0.20 (0.19) | −.30 (0.22) | −0.21 (0.23) | 0.38 (0.27) |  |
 | Preadolescent aggressivity | 1.08 (0.56) | .05 | 0.12 (0.21) | −0.72 (0.27) | 0.26 (0.23) | 0.49 (0.28) |  |
 | Adolescent conduct disorder | 1.22 (0.52) | .01 | 0.01 (0.19) | −0.89 (0.24) | 0.40 (0.22) | 0.75 (0.27) |  |
 | Adolescent aggressivity | 1.26 (0.55) | .03 | 0.10 (0.20) | −0.85 (0.26) | 0.34 (0.22) | 0.61 (0.27) |  |
 | |  | | | |
| | |  | | | | ASP bio Parent Present | ASP bio Parent Absent |  |
|---|
 | Variable | Interaction Term (SE) | P | LL (SE) | SS or SL (SE) | LL (SE) | SS or SL (SE) |  |
 | Preadolescent aggressivity | 1.22 (0.75) | .10 | −0.10 (0.43) | −1.40 (0.71) | −0.37 (0.29) | 0.19 (0.25) |  |
 | Adolescent aggressivity | 1.76 (0.67) | .01 | 0.84 (0.32) | −0.91 (0.44) | −0.66 (0.28) | 0.01 (0.19) |  |
 | |  | | | |
| | |  | | | | ALC bio Parent Present | ALC bio Absent |  |
|---|
 | Variable | Interaction Term (SE) | P | LL (SE) | SS or SL (SE) | LL (SE) | SS or SL (SE) |  |
 | Preschool attention deficit | −1.38 (0.63) | .03 | 0.03 (0.31) | 0.44 (0.30) | 0.29 (0.19) | −0.69 (0.28) |  |
 | Preschool hyperactivity | −1.02 (0.60) | .09 | −0.48 (0.33) | 0.27 (0.29) | 0.17 (0.18) | −0.10 (0.22) |  |
 | Grade school attention-deficit | −1.34 (0.58) | .03 | −0.42 (0.31) | 0.61 (0.28) | 0.05 (0.17) | −0.23 (0.22) |  |
 | Grade school hyper-impulse | −1.21 (0.66) | .07 | −0.06 (0.34) | 0.40 (0.32) | 0.22 (0.20) | −0.53 (0.30) |  |
 | Preadolescent aggressivity | −1.02 (0.61) | .10 | −0.05 (0.31) | 0.22 (0.30) | 0.30 (0.19) | −0.44 (0.26) |  |
 | Adolescent aggressivity | −1.30 (0.59) | .03 | 0.11 (0.29) | 0.52 (0.29) | 0.25 (0.18) | −0.65 (0.25) |  |
 | |  | | | |
To help put these interactions in perspective we have graphed the standard effect sizes for all three interactions types (gender, ASP bio, ALC bio × 5HTTLPR) predicting adolescent aggressivity (Fig 1).
Figure 1 shows the raw data for each of the three types of interaction (see lower row of histograms) and above each group of histograms the adjusted mean of the corresponding effect sizes (see Statistical Methods section for more detail). By examining the three interactions simultaneously (upper row of graphs, Fig 1) it is possible to get an estimate of the cumulative effect of each interaction type upon a single individual outcome, e.g., a male with a short allele would be predicted to have an aggressivity score .61 standard units above the sample mean. The addition of an ASP diathesis to this individual's risk would decreasehis aggressivity score by .91 units and the addition of an alcoholic genetic diathesis would further decrease the score 0.52 units. The net predicted effect of genetic factors for this male with ASP and ALC bio parent background interacting with 5HTTLPR is accordingly approximately + 0.61 + (−0.91) + 0.52 or 0.22. In contrast to this individual, a different male homozygous for long alleles of 5HTTLPR, with an ASP bio parent background, but no ALC bio parent background would be predicted to be 0.65 + (0.85) + (0.25) = ~1.43 units above the sample average. The results of the three different interactions show that generalization of a single effect of a 5HTTLPR variant by itself is not possible without taking into account other interacting genetic factors as well as gender differences. This is an important point, which will be developed further below.
Discussion  General comments This study of adopted persons has found evidence that 5HTTLPR variants may play a significant role in the manifestation of externalizing behaviors (such as attention deficit hyperactivity [ADH], aggressivity, and conduct disorder) when interacted with additional factors: (1) adoptee gender, (2) alcoholism in the biologic parent, and (3) antisocial personality in the biologic parent. The interactions shown by 5HTTLPR with ALC and ASP bio parental diathesis do not allow easy generalization, except for the classic interpretation of interaction: the difference in outcome between SS or SL and LL depends on the presence or absence of the genetic diathesis for alcoholism or antisocial personality. The reader can see this variation in differences presented in Fig 1 by imagining, for example, a line drawn between the mean effect size for alcohol LL and alcohol S and contrasting this upwardly sloping line with the downwardly sloping line between the two mean effect sizes for no alcohol LL and no alcohol S. Similar results can be obtained with the antisocial interaction. The analyses of behaviors in Table 4 further suggest that these three types of interactions are separate and that the direction and magnitude of each effect appears to be similar across varied externalizing behaviors. For example, in females the S allele produces the lowest effect (see Table 5). In subjects with biologic parent alcoholism the short allele is consistently associated with higher aggressivity and other externalizing behaviors (see Table 7), whereas with ASP bio parent, the short allele correlates with low aggressivity (see Table 6 as well as interaction figures on top row of Fig 1). Failure to find a main 5HTTLPR effect in our preliminary analyses can be explained by the presence of these interactions and the distribution of the interacting variables in our data. Multiple comparisons The problem of multiple comparisons in our analyses requires some detailed comment. Since the outcomes of interest have substantial overlap, a conventional multiple comparison correction such as Bonferroni's is unnecessarily conservative. (Consider the situation in which an experimenter unwittingly retests the same outcome multiple times, calling it by a different name each time so that multiple tests appear to have been performed.) As described in the Methods, we performed more accurate corrections based on computer simulation of the observed correlation of residuals. Typically, multiple comparison corrections are constructed to answer the following question: If there are no real relationships in the underlying population, what is the chance that I would have found anyof the nominally significant observed results to have P values at least as low those actually observed? While this is obviously an important question, it is not the only one that can be asked. A second question of similar interest is this: If there are truly no findings of interest in the underlying population, what is the chance that I would have found allof the nominally significant results to have P values at least as low those observed? We have answered both of these questions via simulation. We first note that, among the models with “interesting” interaction results, the highest P value for the overall (4 df) serotonin test was .17 (Table 4). Under the null hypothesis, our simulations suggested that at least one P value ≤ .17 would have occurred 81% of the time. However, we have eight of 10 overall serotonin tests with P values that are at least this low. The same simulations suggest that eight or more tests with P values ≤ .17 would occur only 0.5% of the time under the null hypothesis of no real interactions (i.e., P ~ .005). Since the P value is well below the usual level (5%) of significance we can reject the null hypothesis and assert that it is unlikely that none of the interaction results are real. Which interactions are spurious can only be determined by repeating the study on an independent sample. Statistical estimation of effect sizes The use of ordinal logistic regression rather than conventional regression was motivated primarily by problems that arise when studying behaviors associated skewed distributions of relatively crude measurements. Other than this wrinkle, our analyses were based on well-established epidemiological methods for controlling confounding variability in an observational experiment.36 The magnitude of effect sizes shown in Table 6 through 8 requires comment. The mean effect sizes are in the general range of 0.5 to 1.0 and should be considered of substantive significance. These are mean effects. It may be that an individual has to be 1.5 to 2 SD beyond the norm to be clinically abnormal, so these effect sizes do not imply that the average person with the relevant combination of risk factors will be clinically deviant. However, these effect sizes suggest that their risk for clinical deviance is substantially elevated. Important confounds As mentioned in the introduction, the rationale for our focus upon 5HTTLPR variants was the extensive literature from neuropsychiatry implicating serotonin in a variety of externalizing behaviors. However, genetic association studies of 5HTTLPR have been equivocal with some showing correlations with externalizing behaviors such as suicide attempts, neuroticism, severe habitual aggressive behavior, and alcohol dependence.41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46 The “positive” studies point to the involvement of the short variant of the 5HTTLPR gene in the correlation with deviant behavior. In contrast, other studies of independent samples have failed to show a correlation of 5HTTLPR variants with similar types of behavior.12, 47, 48, 49 In some cases, “positive” studies may be due to population stratification: the presence of genetically different populations in the control or comparison groups. This possibility was specifically discussed in one study contrasting different ethnic groups. Gelernter et al. found race × promotor system genotype interaction that they interpreted as evidence of population stratification.12 Our results are not likely due to population stratification for the following reasons: (1) comparison adoptees in the analysis came from the same adoption agencies as the adoptees with ASP or ALC bio parents; (2) there were no 5HTTLPR allele frequency differences among the four adoption agencies providing subjects; and (3) in adoptees there were no 5HTTLPR allele correlations with ASP bio or ALC bio background. The last point is especially important since it demonstrated that breaking down the sample on the basis of biologic parent psychopathology did not result in two different subsamples with different allele frequencies. Thus the data answer the question of whether population stratification is the explanation for findings in this study—it is not. Gender × 5HTTLPR interaction: Supporting evidence The interaction found between gender and 5HTTLPR deserves further comment. Gender differences in externalizing behaviors are nothing new: boys are generally more aggressive and hyperactive for example. However, in this study the interaction with gender is significant in spite of the correction in the regression model for gender as well as for the two other interactions. The mechanism of interaction is not apparent and could range from molecular genetic reasons to different environmental expectation for behaviors in the two genders. There are some examples in the literature of gender × genotype interaction in humans: one involving 5HTTLPR and the second, the DRD4 receptor. One study by Gelernter at al.12 tried to replicate previously reported association between 5HTTLPR and the harm avoidance scale of the tri-dimensional personality questionnaire. They failed to find a main effect of 5HTTLPR but did report a significant gender × 5HTTLPR interaction instead (P = .04). Males with a short allele had higher harm avoidance score than those with LL; just the opposite was found with females where LL was associated with higher mean scored for harm avoidance and S with lower scores. The second study by Vandenbergh et al.50 reported that long forms of the dopamine receptor (DRD4) gene manifesting VNTR were significantly more prevalent in male substance abusers than in females. The interactions described in the Gelernter and Vandenburgh studies also suggest that gender × genotype interactions as found in this study might be successfully detected in general population samples. Defining the role of 5HTTLPR in externalizing behaviors Among recent association studies there is a trend to look at more narrowly defined behaviors. The intent is to achieve a more homogeneous subgroup and possibly better show a genetic correlate (because of more homogeneous etiology), e.g., one study that correlated 5HTTLPR variants with alcoholics who also had a history of bothimpulsive and violent behaviors found that the short allele frequency was higher among such alcoholics compared to alcoholics without the violence.51 Another example of narrowing the behavior to achieve a more homogeneous group of subjects is a study that showed the short 5HTTLPR allele conferred susceptibility to subjects whose behavior profile was characterized by both high novelty seeking and low harm avoidance.52 Todd et al. have used latent-class analysis in a twin study of ADHD to find ADHD subtypes that appear to be independently transmitted in families, and they suggest that their classes “may be more appropriate targets for molecular genetic studies”.53 Another group of investigators have further narrowed behavior using an ethological approach: by adding a developmental aspect to “externalizing” behavior such as excessive aggressivity in lower primates (monkeys).54 Variations in the 5HTTLPR gene have been found to affect development depending on early social-rearing history. Male monkeys with a short allele (LS) were more likely to have lower cerebrospinal fluid 5-hydroxyindoleacetic acid (5-HIAA) concentration than males with the LL allele when both were reared by peers as infants. However, LS and LL monkeys raised with their mothers did not show this difference in cerebrospinal fluid 5-HIAA. This involvement of 5HTTLPR with behavior depends upon rearing circumstances and is evidence of specific genetic-environmental interaction.55 A developmental perspective of behavior makes biologic as well as social-behavioral sense in explaining and understanding externalizing behaviors that show considerable variability between individuals,56, 57 as well as over time (e.g., childhood ADHD predicts adult antisocial personality in individuals who are aggressive as children19). Thus more recent behavioral genetic association studies are attempting to look at more specific (and narrowed) behaviors at different developmental periods. In the ethologic approach (see above) the developmental aspect is further studied by manipulating earlier environmental experience and noting its effect on future behavior. The current study is a further example of delineating and focusing on specific behaviors at different developmental periods. The results of focusing on more narrowly defined behaviors suggest that several important kinds of externalizing childhood and adolescent behaviors may be influenced by the 5HTTLPR allele variation through interaction with other genetic influences. The information in the adoption paradigm has provided a rational etiologic perspective for defining homogeneous subgroups of subjects with regard to other background sources of genetic variability, e.g., those with a genetic diathesis for a specific behavioral disturbance known to have a substantive genetic etiology (such as personality deviance and substance abuse). The regression analysis also expedites analysis of genetic effects by including environmental factors (such as disturbed adoptive parents) that also influence behavior. In connection with this novel application of the adoption design to genetic association studies more discussion about epistasis is indicated because of our finding of evidence for gene-gene interactions. Epistasis is a concept from classical Mendelian genetics. It was a term originally used to describe specific gene-gene interactions occurring between non-allelic (and nonlinked genes) which affected a phenotypic trait.58 Here, we use a closely related phenomenon, gene-biological family history interaction to describe the 5HTTLPR interaction with ALC biol parent and ASP bio parent diatheses. We imply that epistasis may be occurring because the offspring of parents with alcoholism or antisocial personality are very likely to inherit genes that predispose themselves to these behaviors and which in turn lead to a variety of deviant behaviors during early development such as ADHD. The term gene-family history interaction used here refers to the interaction of the 5HTTLPR with a group of genes of unknown number since we are dealing with psychiatric conditions with complex polygenic etiologies that are presumably inherited from the biological parents. Before molecular analysis of genes was available, epistasis was usually inferred by examining the deviations of phenotypes from carefully selected animal or plant crosses.59 Gene-biological family history interactions in human behavior were very difficult to study for the following reasons: (1) controlled crosses were and are not practical (or can be immoral for that matter); (2) complex behavioral traits are difficult to characterize unlike “simple” physical traits such as hair or eye color; and (3) analysis of gene-biological family history interactions through examining human family trees requires large numbers of cases. However, the adoption paradigm allows a more direct analysis for these interactions. The regression methodology developed here can be used to identify candidate genes (or other genomic polymorphisms, e.g., 5HTTLPR). Additional genes found to be important in behavior can in turn be tested directly for epistasis by constructing regression models containing both the new gene along with 5HTTLPR or with other genes identified through regression models as well as interaction terms between the candidate genes. Whether this regression approach to identifying specific genes will prove fruitful can only be tested by further repetition with independent samples and with other candidate genes within the present sample. Although the present report deals with an adopted group of subjects, a similar regression approach seeking gene-biological family history interaction might be fruitful in association designs with probands from twin and family studies where behavioral genetic diatheses have been defined by psychiatric conditions in blood relatives. If gene-environment interaction plays a relatively minor role in outcome, such studies could be effective in detecting gene-biological family history interaction. Biologic significance of epistasis Many human illnesses, such as diabetes or depression, are recognized now as “complex” genetic illnesses, thought to be caused by multiple genes (often of small individual effect) acting together (as well as interacting with the environment). In studying such illnesses, the assumption often made when model-building is that the effect of multiple genes can be assumed to be additive. Interaction is often ignored in analysis.60 However, our results raise the possibility that non-linearity and nonadditivity may occur. This study has looked at only one gene in the serotonin system and has found evidence of interaction between its variant and two other groups of behaviorally important diatheses (antisocial personality and alcoholism). This suggests that epistasis might be much more common. It would then appear to be imperative to survey other serotonin receptors as well as other neurotransmitter systems (e.g., dopamine and glutamate and acetylcholine receptors and transmitters that are involved in important behaviors such as reward systems, conditioning, memory, etc.). If interactions as described here are frequent then we can expect much more variability in behavior from fewer genes than have been postulated in strictly linear polygenic models of such outcomes as height or psychiatric conditions.60
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